Every active investor should follow the IPO market. Why?
The IPO market gives you a front-row seat to the direction of equity markets.
The S&P 500 briefly crossed into a bear market on Friday. However the IPO market was flashing red as early as December. Time and again we see IPOs serve as a barometer on the way up and down, months before the broader market turns.
Two small IPOs began trading this week, a cannabis grower and a Canadian education company. Both saw the same “pop-and-drop” trading pattern as other recent small deals. Two SPAC mergers also closed this week with disappointing results. A whopping seven SPACs announced mergers, including Paul Ryan’s ENPC, which plans to buy an energy E&P.
The IPO pipeline remains largely frozen, though AIG spinoff Corebridge Financial (NYSE: CRBG) updated financials in a sign that it may still come in the second quarter. A number of consumer companies have also updated recently.
News broke that one of the world’s most valuable pre-IPO unicorns, payment platform Klarna may raise funding well below its last valuation. That’s just the tip of the down-round iceberg, as private rounds usually lag public markets.
The IPO market closed -2.9% lower this week, compared to -3.0% for the S&P 500. COVID-19 vaccine developer CureVac was the IPO Index’s winner up +19.6%, while plant-based meat supplier Beyond Meat lost -22.0% after earnings.
Take care,
Bill Smith
Co-Founder and CEO
Renaissance Capital
|
Biggest price changes through
May 20th
in the
Renaissance IPO Index
|
||
|---|---|---|
| Top 5 | ||
| CureVac | CVAC | 19.6% |
| Upstart Holdings | UPST | 17.2% |
| dLocal | DLO | 14.2% |
| DigitalOcean | DOCN | 12.9% |
| Marqeta | MQ | 11.2% |
| Bottom 5 | ||
| Beyond Meat | BYND | -22.0% |
| Nu Holdings | NU | -21.0% |
| Petco Health and Wellness | WOOF | -18.9% |
| Cloudflare | NET | -16.1% |
| GitLab | GTLB | -15.2% |
| Sectors | ||
| Health Care | 2.5% | |
| Industrials | 1.3% | |
| Financials | -1.1% | |
| Real Estate | -1.5% | |
| Technology | -2.0% | |
| Consumer Discretionary | -3.3% | |
| Consumer Staples | -6.2% | |
Renaissance IPO ETF (NYSE symbol: IPO) tracks the Renaissance IPO Index
The Renaissance IPO Index returned -2.9% last week vs. -3.0% for the S&P 500.

